Magellan Robotech, the robotics division of the Stanleybet Group, has predicted that Italy will hit the “contagion zero” pandemic mark on May 7, with ordinary activities to be resumed by the end of that month.
Praising Italy’s setting the standard for the rest of the world for the “spirit of self-sacrifice of its medical personnel, public and private alike, and the exemplary behaviour of its citizens”, the findings of the study commissioned by the Stanley Board to the robotics division of the Liverpool-based group on the likely trends of the Covid-19 pandemic were disclosed and released to all Stanley affiliates in Europe.
Data from the civil protection and health authorities of several countries, as well as those of the World Health Organisation, were utilised in the creation of a mathematical model interpreting the pandemic as if were spread by a swarm of hostile robots.
With China assigned the highest compliance rating, Italy came third in a full set of rankings the group is keeping under wraps. The prediction is that Italy hit its high mark in terms of infected individuals on March 27, with an 88 per cent probability assigned to reaching no more new contagions as of May 7.
Dr Giovanni Garrisi, Stanley’s CEO and the creator of the Magellan mathematical model, sounded a note of warning, however.
“I am confident that the predictions developed by us will prove substantially correct,” he said. “However, there is a risk. In fact, our model shows that the contagion trend in the coming days should collapse exponentially. In other words, we will see the number of new infected individuals decrease by the day with astonishing speed, but the curve will thereafter slow down and tend to become flat with an enervating ‘swing behaviour’ equally changing by the day, to reach the zero contagion point at the beginning of May.
“It is, therefore, to be expected that in the coming days between April 7 and 15 a mood of euphoria will prevail, as if the problem was eventually overcome. Mind you, this is not the case.
“A relaxation of the strictest compliance with the prescriptions of the authorities could result in a fresh uptake of the pandemic instead. All of us must absolutely stay at home, not only until the day when the absence of new contagions is declared, but safely well beyond that point in time. Provided all of us remain compliant and strict in observing the prescriptions of the authorities, the gambling sector may start to think of a re-opening of physical operations within the end of May.”
